HOUSTON ONE OF 6 HOUSING MARKETS GEAR UP FOR A REBOUND

Stronger job markets are pushing several cities’ housing markets into recovery-mode. Forbes and the Local Market Monitor, a real estate research firm, recently profiled its top picks for cities that are most poised for a real estate rebound. The list is based on housing and economic data from the 100 largest cities in the country.

“For real estate to do well you want to see two things: that incomes are growing rapidly … and that the growth in jobs attracts other people to that market,” Ingo Winzer, founder and president of Local Market Monitor, told Forbes.

Here are the cities topping the list:

1. San Jose, Calif.
Population growth: 5 percent
Job growth: 3.3 percent
Home prices for the past 12 months: 2 percent decrease
New-home construction: 97 percent increase

2. Houston, Texas
Population growth: 7 percent
Job growth: 3 percent
Home prices for the past 12 months: 2 percent decrease
New-home construction: 38 percent increase

3. Boston, Mass.
Population growth: 3 percent
Job growth: 2.1 percent
Home prices for the past 12 months: 1 percent decrease
New-home construction: 1 percent increase

4. Raleigh, N.C.
Population growth: 12 percent
Job growth: 1.4 percent
Home prices for the past 12 months: 2 percent decrease
New-home construction: 14 percent increase

5. Austin, Texas
Population growth: 11 percent
Job growth: 1.5 percent
Home prices for the past 12 months: 2 percent decrease
New-home construction: 20 percent increase

6. Oklahoma City, Okla.
Population growth: 4 percent
Job growth: 2.6%
Home prices for the past 12 months: 3 percent decrease
New-home construction: 1 percent decrease
Find out more about why these cities are poised for a rebound, and see what other cities made the list.

Source: “Cities Where Real Estate Is Ripe for a Rebound,” Forbes (January 2012)

HOUSTON-AREA HOME SALES RISE FOR A SEVENTH STRAIGHT MONTH

You read it first here earlier this week, Houston’s single family home sales in December were 4,604 homes, an 18.7% increase over November 2011 and a 7.2% increase over December 2010. This is the seventh straight month of increased sales compared to the same month in 2010.

Houston Association of REALTORS® has released the statistics for December 2011. Significantly the number of single family homes actively on the market dropped to 25,699 a 7.4% decrease from November. This is the lowest level of single family home inventory since December 2003. If this level is sustained Houston will be moving into a Sellers’ market. Pending sales increased 3.5% over the level a year ago.

Shown below is a graph of home sales, pending sales and number of homes on the market from January 2000 to present. This visually shows the reduction in the number of homes on the market. Watch for more on the state of Houston’s market for homes in later posts.

 

EARLY LOOK AT HOUSTON’S HOME SALES RESULTS FOR DECEMBER 2011 – SALES INCREASE FOR SEVENTH MONTH IN A ROW

Houston Association of REALTORS® has not yet released statistics for December. An early analysis of available data indicates that the number of single family homes sold increased for the seventh month in a row when compared to the same month last year. It appears the number of single family homes sold in December will be just under 4,500, which will be 3% to 5% ahead of December 2010. If this analysis is correct, the number of single family homes sold in December will be approximately 12% higher than November 2011. It is not unusual for sales in December to exceed those in November. All told it appears single family home sales in 2011 will be approximately 4% higher than 2010.

Home sales in Houston really took off in June 2003 and we began to see double digit increases in sales. Prior to that in Houston we felt that a steady 3% average growth provided a stable and healthy residential market. Sales in 2001 increased 2.2% over 2000. Sales in 2002 increased 3.3 % over 2001. These were considered good years. Sales in 2004 increased 11.6% over 2003. The point is, while 4% growth in 2011 may seem weak compared to the heady days of 2004 to 2007, it may signal a return to a more stable and healthy market.

Watch my Blog later this month for more detailed information once HAR releases the statistics. Watch your snail mail box late in January for my annual detailed analysis of the market. If you are not on my mailing list and want a copy of the analysis, send me an email with your address and I will see that you receive it.

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MORTGAGE RATES MATCH RECORD LOWS THIS WEEK

Daily Real Estate News | Friday, January 06, 2012

With signs of an improving housing market, mortgage rates took another dip this week, matching at or near the all-time record lows, Freddie Mac reports in its weekly mortgage market survey.

For the fifth consecutive week, 30-year fixed-rate mortgages have averaged below 4 percent, which was unheard of until a few months ago.

“Fixed mortgage rates started the year a little lower this week just as recent data reports indicate the housing market and manufacturing industry are showing signs of improvement,” Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac’s chief economist, said in a statement. Pending home sales for existing-homes soared 7.3 percent in November — its strongest pace since April 2010, the National Association of REALTORS® recently reported. Construction spending also increased in November by 1.2 percent — all serving as positive signs that housing is on the rebound.

Here’s a closer look at rates for the week ending Jan. 5:

  • 30-year      fixed-rate mortgages: averaged 3.91 percent, with an average 0.8 point,      matching its previous record low that it set a few weeks ago. Last week,      30-year rates averaged 3.95 percent and a year ago at this time, 30-year      rates averaged 4.77 percent.
  • 15-year      fixed-rate mortgages: averaged 3.23 percent, with an average 0.8 point,      dropping from last week’s 3.24 percent average. Last year at this time,      15-year mortgages averaged 4.13 percent.
  • 5-year      adjustable-rate mortgages: averaged 2.86 percent, with an average 0.7 point,      dropping from last week’s 2.88 percent average. Last year at this time,      5-year ARMs averaged 3.75 percent.
  • 1-year      ARMs: averaged      2.80 percent this week, with an average 0.6 point, inching up slightly      from last week’s 2.78 percent average. A year ago, 1-year ARMs averaged      3.24 percent.

Source: Freddie Mac

WISHING YOU HAPPINESS, JOY AND LIFE FULFILLED

No matter how you celebrate this season, I wish for you much happiness, joy and a New Year that fulfills your life.

HOUSTON ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (HAR), HAS RELEASED STATISTICS FOR HOUSTON HOME SALES IN NOVEMBER

Houston Association of REALTORS® (HAR), has released statistics for Houston home sales in November 2011. Watch HAR Chair Carlos P. Bujosa discuss November home sales.

HOUSTON HOME SALES REMAIN IN POSITIVE TERRITORY

November prices are mixed as indicators reflect a healthy year-end market

Consumers kept the Houston real estate market humming in November, accounting for the sixth consecutive month of positive home sales this year. The year-over-year increase in single-family homes sales, along with another rise in pending sales and further decline in months inventory, reflects a market that continues to benefit from a healthy absorption of housing inventory as 2011 winds down.

November sales of single-family homes rose 11.4 percent versus one year earlier, according to the latest monthly data prepared by the Houston Association of REALTORS® (HAR). On a year-to-date basis, sales were up 4.1 percent. All segments of the housing market experienced growth except for the luxury segment—those homes priced from $500,000 and above—whose decline pulled down the overall average price. The median price saw its biggest increase since February of this year.

“The November report contains a lot of positive data that suggests the Houston real estate market is wrapping up 2011 on solid footing,” said Carlos P. Bujosa, HAR chairman and VP at Transwestern. “The Greater Houston Partnership has forecast that our region will add more than 84,000 jobs next year, and as long as that’s the case, we would hope to see further strengthening of the local economy, including real estate.”

The single-family home median price—the figure at which half of the homes sold for more and half sold for less—reached the highest level for a November in Houston, climbing 2.6 percent to $154,950. The average price declined 4.8 percent from November 2010 to $206,969, but still managed to achieve the second highest level for a November in Houston.

Foreclosure property sales reported in the Multiple Listing Service (MLS) increased 9.2 percent year-over-year in November. Foreclosures comprised 20.2 percent of all property sales, which is consistent with the levels they have maintained since May of this year. The median price of foreclosures in October ticked up 0.8 percent to $80,000.

November sales of all property types in Houston totaled 4,676, up 10.6 percent compared to November 2010. Total dollar volume for properties sold during the month rose 4.4 percent to $942 million versus $903 million one year earlier.

November Monthly Market Comparison

The month of November brought Houston’s overall housing market positive results when all sales categories are compared to November of 2010. Total property sales and total dollar volume rose on a year-over-year basis. The median price climbed to an historic high for a November in Houston. Although the average price declined, it recorded its second highest level for a November in Houston.

Month-end pending sales for November totaled 3,013. That is up 16.6 percent from last year and suggests another positive month of sales when the December figures are tallied. The number of available properties, or active listings, at the end of November declined 13.0 percent from November 2010 to 45,113. The inventory of single-family homes dropped to its lowest level since January 2010—6.2 months, compared to 7.6 months one year earlier. That means it would take 6.2 months to sell all the single-family homes on the market based on sales activity over the past year. The figure is significantly better than the national inventory of single-family homes of 8.0 months reported by the National Association of REALTORS® (NAR). These indicators all continue to reflect a balanced real estate marketplace for Houston.

CATEGORIES NOVEMBER 2010 NOVEMBER 2011 PERCENT CHANGE
Total property sales 4,229 4,676 10.6%
Total dollar volume $902,512,984 $942,179,593 4.4%
Total active listings 51,875 45,113 -13.0%
Total pending sales 2,583 3,013 16.6%
Single-family home sales 3,568 3,973 11.4%
Single-family average sales price $217,421 $206,969 -4.8%
Single-family median sales price $151,000 $154,950 2.6%
Months inventory* 7.6 6.2 -17.7%
* Months inventory estimates the number of months it will take to deplete current active inventory based on the prior 12 months sales activity. This figure is representative of the single-family homes market.
Single-Family Homes Update

November sales of single-family homes in Houston totaled 3,973, up 11.4 percent from November 2010. This marks the sixth consecutive increase of the year. On a year-to-date basis, sales are ahead 4.1 percent.

Broken out by segment, November sales of homes priced below $80,000 rose 10.9 percent; sales of homes in the $80,000-$150,000 range climbed 11.3 percent; sales of homes between $150,000 and $250,000 were up 17.7 percent; sales of homes ranging from $250,000-$500,000 advanced 13.0 percent; and sales of homes that make up the luxury market—priced from $500,000 and up—dropped 5.7 percent.       

Single Family Average Home Price

At $206,969, the average price of single-family homes declined 4.8 percent compared to last November. It nonetheless achieved the second highest pricing level for a November in Houston. The depreciation resulted from the lower volume of luxury home sales. At $154,950, the median sales price for single-family homes reached a November high, rising 2.6 percent year-over-year, its biggest increase since February 2011. The national single-family median price reported by NAR is $161,600, illustrating the continued higher value and lower cost of living available to consumers in Houston.

Single Family Average Home Price

HAR also breaks out the sales performance of existing single-family homes throughout the Houston market. In November 2011, existing home sales totaled 3,224, a 12.8 percent increase from November 2010. The average sales price declined 6.3 percent from last year to $194,008 and the median sales price edged up 1.5 percent to $139,000.

Townhouse/Condominium Update

The number of townhouses and condominiums that sold in November rose 1.6 percent compared to one year earlier, marking the fifth straight monthly sales increase. In the greater Houston area, 322 units were sold last month versus 317 properties in November 2010.  The average price climbed 8.4 percent to $172,658 from November 2010 to November 2011.

The median price of a townhouse/condominium rose 10.2 percent to $135,000. Both average and median prices were the highest ever for a November in Houston.    

Lease Property Update

Heightened demand for Houston lease properties persisted in November. Single-family home rentals rose 13.5 percent compared to one year earlier and year-over-year townhouse/condominium rentals climbed 4.1 percent. HAR has reported throughout much of 2011 that this demand has been largely driven by hiring gains that have drawn consumers to Houston from around the country. These consumers may not be ready or able to purchase a home for various reasons, among them more stringent mortgage lending requirements.

Houston Real Estate Milestones in November
  • Volume of single-family home sales rose for a sixth consecutive month;
  • Volume of townhouse/condominium sales increased for the fifth straight month;
  • At $154,950, the median sales price for single-family homes reached the highest level for a November in Houston and marked its biggest increase since February 2011;
  • Single-family home rentals rose 13.5 percent;
  • Townhouse/condominium rentals increased 4.1 percent;
  • 6.2 months inventory of single-family homes is the lowest level since January 2010 and compares favorably to the national average of 8.0 months.

The computerized Multiple Listing Service of the Houston Association of REALTORS® includes residential properties and new homes listed by  REALTORS®  throughout Harris, Fort Bend and Montgomery counties, as well as parts of Brazoria, Galveston, Waller and Wharton counties.  Residential home sales statistics as well as listing information for more than 50,000 properties may be found on the Internet at http://www.har.com.

The information published and disseminated to the HAR Multiple Listing Services is communicated verbatim, without change by Multiple Listing Services, as filed by MLS participants.

The MLS does not verify the information provided and disclaims any responsibility for its accuracy. All data is preliminary and subject to change. Monthly sales figures reported since November 1998 includes a statistical estimation to account for late entries. Twelve-month totals may vary from actual end-of-year figures. (Single-family detached homes were broken out separately in monthly figures beginning February 1988.)

Founded in 1918, the Houston Association of REALTORS® (HAR) is a member organization of real estate professionals engaged in every aspect of the industry, including residential and commercial sales and leasing, appraisal, property management and counseling. It is the largest individual dues-paying membership trade association in Houston as well as the second largest local association/board of REALTORS® in the United States.

HOUSTON-AREA HOME SALES RISE FOR A SIXTH STRAIGHT MONTH

You read it first here last week, Houston’s single family home sales in November were 3,973 homes, an 11.4% increase over November 2010. This is the sixth straight month of increased sales compared to the same month in 2010.

Houston Association of REALTORS® has released the statistics for October 2010. Significantly the number of single family homes dropped to 27,749 a 4.4% decrease from October. This is the lowest level of single family home inventory in almost two years. If this level is sustained Houston will be moving into a Sellers’ market. Pending sales increased 19% over the level a year ago.

Shown below is a graph of home sales, pending sales and number of homes on the market from January 2000 to present. This visually shows the reduction in the number of homes on the market. Watch for more on the state of Houston’s market for homes in later posts.

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Greenwood King is a licensed real estate Broker in the State of Texas
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